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Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party win the WI-08 House seat?”?

Politics$10K traded35 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
11%Yes🧠 smart money
90%No

Smart money leans Yes: 85% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 13 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$10K
traded all time
Held now
$1.5K
by 35 wallets
Smart share · Yes
85%
18 scored holders
Smart share · No
72%
17 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 11¢ and No at 90¢, a 90% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

85% of the money on Yes and 72% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 13 points.

Who holds it

35 wallets hold a position worth $1.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 35 of them. The largest Yes holder is SitsToPee, with $153 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is TrangNgo, with $465 on it, $22K lifetime profit over 211 markets (84% won).

Yes11%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share85%
a day ago 85%now 85%
Holders
18
Money on it
$379
Holders' win rate
49%
No90%
Smart money share72%
a day ago 72%now 72%
Holders
17
Money on it
$1.1K
Holders' win rate
78%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$379 on it

  1. 1SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$153+$48K lifetime
  2. 20x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 9,933 · whale$60+$129K lifetime
  3. 3RadioCCOD38% won of 208 · noise$43+$9.4K lifetime
  4. 4Dr.PNL30% won of 15,294$30−$485K lifetime
  5. 5GayPride80% won of 674 · whale$26+$655K lifetime

No$1.1K on it

  1. 1TrangNgo84% won of 211 · balanced$465+$22K lifetime
  2. 2jsand22983% won of 6$280+$112 lifetime
  3. 30xE41adDdfD269f811c8dc173237eD8C4F213d29bD-178604115318879% won of 125$211−$137 lifetime
  4. 4cigarettes46% won of 49,317$72−$53K lifetime
  5. 5khanoftruth35% won of 200 · noise$45+$8.6K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party win the WI-08 House seat?"?

35 wallets hold a position worth $1.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 35 of them. The largest Yes holder is SitsToPee, with $153 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is TrangNgo, with $465 on it, $22K lifetime profit over 211 markets (84% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party win the WI-08 House seat?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 11¢ and No at 90¢, a 90% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

85% of the money on Yes and 72% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 13 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.