Live on Polymarket

Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the TN-02 House seat?”?

Politics$24K traded19 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
96%Yes🧠 smart money
5%No

Smart money leans Yes: 93% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 31 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$24K
traded all time
Held now
$951
by 19 wallets
Smart share · Yes
93%
9 scored holders
Smart share · No
62%
10 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 96¢ and No at 5¢, a 96% implied chance of Yes. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

93% of the money on Yes and 62% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 31 points. A week ago, Yes by 47 points.

Who holds it

19 wallets hold a position worth $951 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 19 of them. The largest Yes holder is SitsToPee, with $395 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $21 on it, $254K lifetime profit over 123,511 markets (40% won).

Yes96%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share93%
7 days ago 98%a day ago 93%now 93%
Holders
9
Money on it
$909
Holders' win rate
65%
No5%
Smart money share62%
7 days ago 51%a day ago 62%now 62%
Holders
10
Money on it
$42
Holders' win rate
37%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$909 on it

  1. 1SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$395+$48K lifetime
  2. 2i2dt71% won of 356 · whale$344+$17K lifetime
  3. 3shurshuik80% won of 40 · balanced$52+$1.2K lifetime
  4. 4jorgehowars79% won of 29$52−$1.5K lifetime
  5. 5kulloalver468792% won of 37 · balanced$44+$3.4K lifetime

No$42 on it

  1. 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,511 · noise$21+$254K lifetime
  2. 2Dr.PNL30% won of 15,294$11−$485K lifetime
  3. 30x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 9,933 · whale$3+$129K lifetime
  4. 4richyee18% won of 5,050$2−$19K lifetime
  5. 5PPMT70% won of 57,115 · whale$1+$16K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the TN-02 House seat?"?

19 wallets hold a position worth $951 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 19 of them. The largest Yes holder is SitsToPee, with $395 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $21 on it, $254K lifetime profit over 123,511 markets (40% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the TN-02 House seat?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 96¢ and No at 5¢, a 96% implied chance of Yes. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

93% of the money on Yes and 62% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 31 points. A week ago, Yes by 47 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.