Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party win the TN-02 House seat?”?
Smart money leans No: 97% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 14 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $15K traded all time
- Held now
- $430 by 17 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 82% 10 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 97% 7 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
82% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 14 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 14 points. A week ago, No by 22 points.
Who holds it
17 wallets hold a position worth $430 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 17 of them. The largest Yes holder is SitsToPee, with $8 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is El-popo, with $159 on it, $308 lifetime profit over 237 markets (95% won).
- Holders
- 10
- Money on it
- $23
- Holders' win rate
- 49%
- Holders
- 7
- Money on it
- $407
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$23 on it
- 1SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$8+$48K lifetime
- 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,511 · noise$5+$254K lifetime
- 3garbagecollect164% won of 4,671 · whale$4+$6.0K lifetime
- 4lissartter56% won of 2,997$3−$287K lifetime
- 549ddgfd13% won of 239$1−$138 lifetime
No$407 on it
- 1El-popo95% won of 237 · grinder$159+$308 lifetime
- 2i2dt71% won of 356 · whale$140+$17K lifetime
- 30x9dd9…08bd16% won of 740 · noise$95+$36K lifetime
- 4Jasmin42279% won of 62$10−$24 lifetime
- 5eduarbot97% won of 134$3−$23 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in TN-02 House Election Winner
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party win the TN-02 House seat?"?
17 wallets hold a position worth $430 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 17 of them. The largest Yes holder is SitsToPee, with $8 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is El-popo, with $159 on it, $308 lifetime profit over 237 markets (95% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party win the TN-02 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
82% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 14 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 14 points. A week ago, No by 22 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.