Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the OK-03 House seat?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $62K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.9K by 55 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 75% 33 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 76% 22 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 97¢ and No at 3¢, a 97% implied chance of Yes. $62K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
75% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
55 wallets hold a position worth $3.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 55 of them. The largest Yes holder is ImJustKen, with $922 on it, $2.3M lifetime profit over 1,080 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $28 on it, $254K lifetime profit over 123,272 markets (40% won).
- Holders
- 33
- Money on it
- $3.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
- Holders
- 22
- Money on it
- $96
- Holders' win rate
- 44%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3.8K on it
- 1ImJustKen65% won of 1,080 · whale$922+$2.3M lifetime
- 2anciano49% won of 1,323 · whale$640+$38K lifetime
- 30x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 9,933 · whale$462+$129K lifetime
- 40x9dd9…08bd16% won of 740 · noise$338+$36K lifetime
- 5ABC1234565432148% won of 6,025$276−$1.3K lifetime
No$96 on it
- 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$28+$254K lifetime
- 2Bsau458% won of 396 · whale$23+$2.5K lifetime
- 3Dr.PNL30% won of 15,294$16−$485K lifetime
- 42B9S27% won of 14,480 · noise$13+$97K lifetime
- 5runechiters99% won of 235 · grinder$6+$2.2K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in OK-03 House Election Winner
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- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the OK-03 House seat?"?
55 wallets hold a position worth $3.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 55 of them. The largest Yes holder is ImJustKen, with $922 on it, $2.3M lifetime profit over 1,080 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $28 on it, $254K lifetime profit over 123,272 markets (40% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the OK-03 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 97¢ and No at 3¢, a 97% implied chance of Yes. $62K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
75% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.