Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party win the OK-03 House seat?”?
Smart money leans No: 99% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 43 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $44K traded all time
- Held now
- $393 by 34 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 56% 20 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 99% 14 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $44K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
56% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 43 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 43 points. A week ago, No by 34 points.
Who holds it
34 wallets hold a position worth $393 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 34 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495, with $8 on it, $335K lifetime profit over 12,163 markets (23% won). The largest No holder is 0x9dd9…08bd, with $286 on it, $36K lifetime profit over 740 markets (16% won).
- Holders
- 20
- Money on it
- $33
- Holders' win rate
- 44%
- Holders
- 14
- Money on it
- $360
- Holders' win rate
- 27%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$33 on it
- 10xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,163 · noise$8+$335K lifetime
- 2thecaricature44% won of 717$8−$7.9K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,322 · noise$4+$254K lifetime
- 4awgraewrfa100% won of 5$3−$189 lifetime
- 50x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 9,933 · whale$3+$129K lifetime
No$360 on it
- 10x9dd9…08bd16% won of 740 · noise$286+$36K lifetime
- 2daroghi84% won of 429 · whale$29+$192K lifetime
- 3l1chk1ng40080% won of 20 · balanced$27+$3.2K lifetime
- 4donthackme29% won of 87,178 · noise$11+$829K lifetime
- 5strategymaking00171% won of 155$1−$125 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in OK-03 House Election Winner
1 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party win the OK-03 House seat?"?
34 wallets hold a position worth $393 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 34 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495, with $8 on it, $335K lifetime profit over 12,163 markets (23% won). The largest No holder is 0x9dd9…08bd, with $286 on it, $36K lifetime profit over 740 markets (16% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party win the OK-03 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $44K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
56% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 43 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 43 points. A week ago, No by 34 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.