Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the OH-15 House seat?”?
Smart money leans No: 77% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 13 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $26K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.0K by 81 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 64% 43 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 77% 38 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 63¢ and No at 37¢, a 63% implied chance of Yes. $26K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
64% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 8 points.
Who holds it
81 wallets hold a position worth $6.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 81 of them. The largest Yes holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $1.9K on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,242 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is SitsToPee, with $185 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won).
- Holders
- 43
- Money on it
- $5.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
- Holders
- 38
- Money on it
- $838
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$5.2K on it
- 1SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,242 · whale$1.9K+$203K lifetime
- 2GUINESS12370% won of 547$457−$59K lifetime
- 30x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 9,933 · whale$402+$129K lifetime
- 4anciano49% won of 1,323 · whale$350+$38K lifetime
- 5Gaditima49% won of 12,109$250−$433K lifetime
No$838 on it
- 1SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$185+$48K lifetime
- 2Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed56% won of 15,972 · whale$158+$163K lifetime
- 3BobbyBakedBeans41% won of 4,769 · noise$87+$25K lifetime
- 4JsonStatham45% won of 34,979$72−$32K lifetime
- 5pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 10,703$55−$320K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in OH-15 House Election Winner
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- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the OH-15 House seat?"?
81 wallets hold a position worth $6.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 81 of them. The largest Yes holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $1.9K on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,242 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is SitsToPee, with $185 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the OH-15 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 63¢ and No at 37¢, a 63% implied chance of Yes. $26K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
64% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 8 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.