Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party win the OH-15 House seat?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 47% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 18 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $29K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.5K by 83 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 47% 39 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 30% 44 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 37¢ and No at 64¢, a 64% implied chance of No. $29K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
47% of the money on Yes and 30% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 9 points. A week ago, Yes by 24 points.
Who holds it
83 wallets hold a position worth $6.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 83 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gaditima, with $1.8K on it, $434K lifetime loss over 12,111 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is anoin123, with $1.3K on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won).
- Holders
- 39
- Money on it
- $3.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 46%
- Holders
- 44
- Money on it
- $2.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3.7K on it
- 1Gaditima49% won of 12,111$1.8K−$434K lifetime
- 2BigRabbit36% won of 1,102 · noise$913+$127K lifetime
- 30x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 9,933 · whale$326+$129K lifetime
- 4BobbyBakedBeans41% won of 4,772 · noise$192+$25K lifetime
- 5SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$167+$48K lifetime
No$2.7K on it
- 1anoin12359% won of 1,608$1.3K−$4.7M lifetime
- 2anciano49% won of 1,323 · whale$309+$38K lifetime
- 3K80PRO56% won of 908$229−$347 lifetime
- 4GUINESS12370% won of 547$208−$59K lifetime
- 5JAMJAMJAM497% won of 836 · whale$170+$97K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in OH-15 House Election Winner
1 moreOther big politics markets
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- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party win the OH-15 House seat?"?
83 wallets hold a position worth $6.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 83 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gaditima, with $1.8K on it, $434K lifetime loss over 12,111 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is anoin123, with $1.3K on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party win the OH-15 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 37¢ and No at 64¢, a 64% implied chance of No. $29K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
47% of the money on Yes and 30% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 9 points. A week ago, Yes by 24 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.