Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?”?
Smart money leans No: 79% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 36 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $48K traded all time
- Held now
- $12K by 117 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 43% 60 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 79% 57 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 41¢ and No at 60¢, a 60% implied chance of No. $48K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
43% of the money on Yes and 79% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 36 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 43 points. A week ago, No by 35 points.
Who holds it
117 wallets hold a position worth $12K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 117 of them. The largest Yes holder is cigarettes, with $1.3K on it, $49K lifetime loss over 49,080 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is 0xc8b9…b836, with $1.8K on it, $371K lifetime profit over 552 markets (64% won).
- Holders
- 60
- Money on it
- $6.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
- Holders
- 57
- Money on it
- $6.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$6.3K on it
- 1cigarettes46% won of 49,080$1.3K−$49K lifetime
- 2Chungvicular45% won of 201 · noise$1.0K+$35K lifetime
- 3anoin12359% won of 1,608$918−$4.7M lifetime
- 4BobbyBakedBeans42% won of 4,648 · whale$878+$25K lifetime
- 5Gaditima49% won of 12,103$458−$431K lifetime
No$6.1K on it
- 10xc8b9…b83664% won of 552 · whale$1.8K+$371K lifetime
- 20x3c64…09cd56% won of 200 · balanced$774+$155 lifetime
- 3anciano49% won of 1,299 · whale$716+$37K lifetime
- 4moneymakingmachine58% won of 1,109$545−$12K lifetime
- 5overfatting53% won of 68 · balanced$401+$768 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in NY-17 House Election Winner
1 moreOther big politics markets
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- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?"?
117 wallets hold a position worth $12K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 117 of them. The largest Yes holder is cigarettes, with $1.3K on it, $49K lifetime loss over 49,080 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is 0xc8b9…b836, with $1.8K on it, $371K lifetime profit over 552 markets (64% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 41¢ and No at 60¢, a 60% implied chance of No. $48K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
43% of the money on Yes and 79% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 36 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 43 points. A week ago, No by 35 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.