Live on Polymarket

Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?”?

Politics$52K traded120 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
60%Yes🧠 smart money
41%No

Smart money leans Yes: 65% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 13 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$52K
traded all time
Held now
$15K
by 120 wallets
Smart share · Yes
65%
78 scored holders
Smart share · No
52%
42 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 60¢ and No at 41¢, a 60% implied chance of Yes. $52K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

65% of the money on Yes and 52% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 11 points. A week ago, Yes by 21 points.

Who holds it

120 wallets hold a position worth $15K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 120 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x44vanz, with $3.1K on it, $9.4K lifetime loss over 514 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is anoin123, with $1.9K on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won).

Yes60%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share65% ▲ 2 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 76%a day ago 63%now 65%
Holders
78
Money on it
$10K
Holders' win rate
57%
No41%
Smart money share52%
7 days ago 55%a day ago 52%now 52%
Holders
42
Money on it
$5.0K
Holders' win rate
52%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$10K on it

  1. 10x44vanz53% won of 514$3.1K−$9.4K lifetime
  2. 20xc8b9…b83664% won of 552 · whale$2.6K+$371K lifetime
  3. 3anciano49% won of 1,299 · whale$1.4K+$37K lifetime
  4. 4Lisbon89% won of 666 · whale$446+$10K lifetime
  5. 5G.Hchen44% won of 239 · noise$357+$22K lifetime

No$5.0K on it

  1. 1anoin12359% won of 1,608$1.9K−$4.7M lifetime
  2. 2Chungvicular45% won of 201 · noise$1.0K+$35K lifetime
  3. 30x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$890+$127K lifetime
  4. 4BobbyBakedBeans42% won of 4,648 · whale$429+$25K lifetime
  5. 5cigarettes46% won of 49,031$251−$49K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?"?

120 wallets hold a position worth $15K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 120 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x44vanz, with $3.1K on it, $9.4K lifetime loss over 514 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is anoin123, with $1.9K on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 60¢ and No at 41¢, a 60% implied chance of Yes. $52K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

65% of the money on Yes and 52% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 11 points. A week ago, Yes by 21 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.