Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the NM-03 House seat?”?
Smart money leans No: 95% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 33 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $30K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.3K by 37 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 62% 20 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 95% 17 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $30K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
62% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 33 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 35 points. A week ago, No by 40 points.
Who holds it
37 wallets hold a position worth $3.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 37 of them. The largest Yes holder is SitsToPee, with $24 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is Ryxon21, with $809 on it, $133K lifetime profit over 609 markets (81% won).
- Holders
- 20
- Money on it
- $97
- Holders' win rate
- 44%
- Holders
- 17
- Money on it
- $3.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$97 on it
- 1SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$24+$48K lifetime
- 2ViscaElBarca1% won of 12,734$21−$65K lifetime
- 3Touge92% won of 608 · whale$15+$928 lifetime
- 40x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 9,933 · whale$10+$129K lifetime
- 5LornaPredicts28% won of 15,970 · noise$9+$28K lifetime
No$3.2K on it
- 1Ryxon2181% won of 609 · whale$809+$133K lifetime
- 2Seutervoinen82% won of 525 · whale$808+$127K lifetime
- 3anciano49% won of 1,323 · whale$708+$38K lifetime
- 4oneoftheppl58% won of 855 · whale$291+$13K lifetime
- 5NotAnIdiot48% won of 1,435 · balanced$216+$1.5K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in NM-03 House Election Winner
1 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 18%No 83%Smart money: No
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- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the NM-03 House seat?"?
37 wallets hold a position worth $3.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 37 of them. The largest Yes holder is SitsToPee, with $24 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is Ryxon21, with $809 on it, $133K lifetime profit over 609 markets (81% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the NM-03 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $30K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
62% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 33 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 35 points. A week ago, No by 40 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.