Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party win the NM-03 House seat?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 99% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 53 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $24K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.0K by 21 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 99% 10 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 46% 11 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 97¢ and No at 3¢, a 97% implied chance of Yes. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
99% of the money on Yes and 46% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 53 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 53 points. A week ago, Yes by 53 points.
Who holds it
21 wallets hold a position worth $5.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 21 of them. The largest Yes holder is Seutervoinen, with $3.2K on it, $127K lifetime profit over 525 markets (82% won). The largest No holder is Haradwaith, with $74 on it, $378K lifetime loss over 54,248 markets (50% won).
- Holders
- 10
- Money on it
- $4.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 73%
- Holders
- 11
- Money on it
- $171
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4.8K on it
- 1Seutervoinen82% won of 525 · whale$3.2K+$127K lifetime
- 2D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC3893558% won of 935 · whale$864+$85K lifetime
- 3anciano49% won of 1,323 · whale$541+$38K lifetime
- 4FrankyFourFingers69% won of 264$48−$7.0K lifetime
- 5Magician534287% won of 351 · grinder$29+$1.8K lifetime
No$171 on it
- 1Haradwaith50% won of 54,248$74−$378K lifetime
- 2SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$69+$48K lifetime
- 3Dr.PNL30% won of 15,294$13−$485K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 124,069 · noise$8+$257K lifetime
- 5macrosteaks64% won of 2,637$3−$8.2K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in NM-03 House Election Winner
1 moreOther big politics markets
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- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party win the NM-03 House seat?"?
21 wallets hold a position worth $5.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 21 of them. The largest Yes holder is Seutervoinen, with $3.2K on it, $127K lifetime profit over 525 markets (82% won). The largest No holder is Haradwaith, with $74 on it, $378K lifetime loss over 54,248 markets (50% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party win the NM-03 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 97¢ and No at 3¢, a 97% implied chance of Yes. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
99% of the money on Yes and 46% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 53 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 53 points. A week ago, Yes by 53 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.