Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?”?
Smart money leans No: 65% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 44 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $109K traded all time
- Held now
- $39K by 133 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 22% 89 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 65% 42 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 68¢ and No at 33¢, a 68% implied chance of Yes. $109K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
22% of the money on Yes and 65% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 44 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 33 points. A week ago, No by 34 points.
Who holds it
133 wallets hold a position worth $39K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 131 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x82d5…48b0, with $12K on it. The largest No holder is Chungvicular, with $560 on it, $35K lifetime profit over 201 markets (45% won).
- Holders
- 91
- Money on it
- $37K
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
- Holders
- 42
- Money on it
- $1.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$37K on it
- 10x82d5…48b0no record yet$12K
- 20xdcc9B357979299de99C91e7221B8e76720f6b04c-17918284356280% won of 1$6.6K+$0 lifetime
- 3Gaditima49% won of 12,109$3.2K−$433K lifetime
- 4anoin12359% won of 1,608$2.9K−$4.7M lifetime
- 5cigarettes46% won of 49,296$2.0K−$52K lifetime
No$1.9K on it
- 1Chungvicular45% won of 201 · noise$560+$35K lifetime
- 20x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-17788114477028% won of 33,540 · noise$316+$29K lifetime
- 3rocky4201850% won of 755$262−$26K lifetime
- 4WhoseHouseRamsHouse96% won of 914$195−$26K lifetime
- 50xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhl80% won of 1,104 · balanced$127+$28K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in NC-09 House Election Winner
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- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?"?
133 wallets hold a position worth $39K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 131 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x82d5…48b0, with $12K on it. The largest No holder is Chungvicular, with $560 on it, $35K lifetime profit over 201 markets (45% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 68¢ and No at 33¢, a 68% implied chance of Yes. $109K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
22% of the money on Yes and 65% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 44 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 33 points. A week ago, No by 34 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.