Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 89% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 74 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $181K traded all time
- Held now
- $69K by 128 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 89% 50 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 15% 78 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 32¢ and No at 69¢, a 69% implied chance of No. $181K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
89% of the money on Yes and 15% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 74 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 37 points. A week ago, Yes by 79 points.
Who holds it
128 wallets hold a position worth $69K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 128 of them. The largest Yes holder is aenews2, with $24K on it, $2.4M lifetime profit over 1,134 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is 0xdcc9B357979299de99C91e7221B8e76720f6b04c-1791828435628, with $20K on it, $0 lifetime profit over 1 markets (0% won).
- Holders
- 50
- Money on it
- $32K
- Holders' win rate
- 70%
- Holders
- 78
- Money on it
- $37K
- Holders' win rate
- 47%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$32K on it
- 1aenews273% won of 1,134 · whale$24K+$2.4M lifetime
- 20x955c…990f76% won of 587$3.4K−$147K lifetime
- 3Mecky49% won of 427 · whale$1.4K+$88K lifetime
- 4EscapeVelocity62% won of 246 · whale$788+$29K lifetime
- 5BigRabbit36% won of 1,102 · noise$752+$127K lifetime
No$37K on it
- 10xdcc9B357979299de99C91e7221B8e76720f6b04c-17918284356280% won of 1$20K+$0 lifetime
- 20xfaa0…139c18% won of 38$3.0K−$1.9K lifetime
- 3anoin12359% won of 1,608$1.7K−$4.7M lifetime
- 4donthackme29% won of 87,178 · noise$1.5K+$829K lifetime
- 5Gaditima49% won of 12,109$1.2K−$433K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in NC-09 House Election Winner
1 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?"?
128 wallets hold a position worth $69K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 128 of them. The largest Yes holder is aenews2, with $24K on it, $2.4M lifetime profit over 1,134 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is 0xdcc9B357979299de99C91e7221B8e76720f6b04c-1791828435628, with $20K on it, $0 lifetime profit over 1 markets (0% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 32¢ and No at 69¢, a 69% implied chance of No. $181K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
89% of the money on Yes and 15% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 74 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 37 points. A week ago, Yes by 79 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.