Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?”?
Smart money leans No: 95% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 63 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $56K traded all time
- Held now
- $24K by 101 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 32% 51 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 95% 50 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 60¢ and No at 41¢, a 60% implied chance of Yes. $56K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
32% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 63 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 67 points. A week ago, No by 8 points.
Who holds it
101 wallets hold a position worth $24K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 101 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gaditima, with $5.4K on it, $427K lifetime loss over 12,064 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is aenews2, with $2.6K on it, $2.4M lifetime profit over 1,134 markets (73% won).
- Holders
- 51
- Money on it
- $18K
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
- Holders
- 50
- Money on it
- $6.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$18K on it
- 1Gaditima49% won of 12,064$5.4K−$427K lifetime
- 2cigarettes46% won of 48,927$2.5K−$50K lifetime
- 3anoin12359% won of 1,608$1.7K−$4.7M lifetime
- 40x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$1.4K+$127K lifetime
- 574-7541% won of 94$1.1K−$2.5K lifetime
No$6.2K on it
- 1aenews273% won of 1,134 · whale$2.6K+$2.4M lifetime
- 2cookiejar80% won of 203 · whale$1.2K+$206 lifetime
- 3SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$740+$48K lifetime
- 4Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed56% won of 15,845 · whale$527+$163K lifetime
- 5rocky4202552% won of 1,049 · whale$275+$193 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in NC-03 House Election Winner
1 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
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- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?"?
101 wallets hold a position worth $24K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 101 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gaditima, with $5.4K on it, $427K lifetime loss over 12,064 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is aenews2, with $2.6K on it, $2.4M lifetime profit over 1,134 markets (73% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 60¢ and No at 41¢, a 60% implied chance of Yes. $56K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
32% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 63 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 67 points. A week ago, No by 8 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.