Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 97% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 79 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $60K traded all time
- Held now
- $31K by 117 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 97% 51 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 18% 65 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 39¢ and No at 61¢, a 61% implied chance of No. $60K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
97% of the money on Yes and 18% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 79 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 80 points.
Who holds it
117 wallets hold a position worth $31K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 116 of them. The largest Yes holder is aenews2, with $9.3K on it, $2.4M lifetime profit over 1,134 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is Gaditima, with $5.8K on it, $427K lifetime loss over 12,072 markets (49% won).
- Holders
- 52
- Money on it
- $16K
- Holders' win rate
- 71%
- Holders
- 65
- Money on it
- $15K
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$16K on it
- 1aenews273% won of 1,134 · whale$9.3K+$2.4M lifetime
- 2cookiejar80% won of 203 · whale$3.2K+$206 lifetime
- 3Mecky50% won of 426 · whale$551+$89K lifetime
- 4SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$544+$48K lifetime
- 5EscapeVelocity61% won of 244 · whale$293+$29K lifetime
No$15K on it
- 1Gaditima49% won of 12,072$5.8K−$427K lifetime
- 274-7541% won of 94$1.8K−$2.5K lifetime
- 3cigarettes46% won of 48,939$978−$50K lifetime
- 4macrosteaks64% won of 2,606$831−$8.2K lifetime
- 5Haradwaith51% won of 53,556$776−$378K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in NC-03 House Election Winner
1 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
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- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?"?
117 wallets hold a position worth $31K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 116 of them. The largest Yes holder is aenews2, with $9.3K on it, $2.4M lifetime profit over 1,134 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is Gaditima, with $5.8K on it, $427K lifetime loss over 12,072 markets (49% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 39¢ and No at 61¢, a 61% implied chance of No. $60K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
97% of the money on Yes and 18% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 79 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 80 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.