Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the MO-06 House seat?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $28K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.1K by 27 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 70% 14 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 66% 13 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 97¢ and No at 3¢, a 97% implied chance of Yes. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
70% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 18 points. A week ago, No by 18 points.
Who holds it
27 wallets hold a position worth $1.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 27 of them. The largest Yes holder is byu5, with $403 on it, $52 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is donthackme, with $5 on it, $829K lifetime profit over 87,178 markets (29% won).
- Holders
- 14
- Money on it
- $1.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
- Holders
- 13
- Money on it
- $18
- Holders' win rate
- 34%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.0K on it
- 1byu5no record yet$403+$52 lifetime
- 2macrosteaks64% won of 2,637$291−$8.2K lifetime
- 3SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$99+$48K lifetime
- 4peepeepooppoop64% won of 1,566 · whale$97+$33K lifetime
- 5oneoftheppl58% won of 855 · whale$87+$13K lifetime
No$18 on it
- 1donthackme29% won of 87,178 · noise$5+$829K lifetime
- 20x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 9,933 · whale$3+$129K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$2+$254K lifetime
- 4richyee18% won of 5,050$2−$19K lifetime
- 5LornaPredicts28% won of 15,917 · noise$1+$28K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in MO-06 House Election Winner
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the MO-06 House seat?"?
27 wallets hold a position worth $1.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 27 of them. The largest Yes holder is byu5, with $403 on it, $52 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is donthackme, with $5 on it, $829K lifetime profit over 87,178 markets (29% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the MO-06 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 97¢ and No at 3¢, a 97% implied chance of Yes. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
70% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 18 points. A week ago, No by 18 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.