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Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party win the MO-06 House seat?”?

Politics$39K traded37 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
3%Yes
97%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 93% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 56 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$39K
traded all time
Held now
$3.6K
by 37 wallets
Smart share · Yes
38%
26 scored holders
Smart share · No
93%
11 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $39K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

38% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 56 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 25 points. A week ago, No by 29 points.

Who holds it

37 wallets hold a position worth $3.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 37 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gaditima, with $39 on it, $432K lifetime loss over 12,108 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is byu5, with $2.7K on it, $52 lifetime profit.

Yes3%
Smart money share38% ▼ 13 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 50%a day ago 51%now 38%
Holders
26
Money on it
$116
Holders' win rate
48%
No97%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share93% ▲ 17 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 78%a day ago 76%now 93%
Holders
11
Money on it
$3.5K
Holders' win rate
54%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$116 on it

  1. 1Gaditima49% won of 12,108$39−$432K lifetime
  2. 2Dr.PNL30% won of 15,261$21−$485K lifetime
  3. 3Anjun67% won of 1,886 · whale$16+$801K lifetime
  4. 40x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$10+$127K lifetime
  5. 5ABC1234565432148% won of 5,905$7−$1.2K lifetime

No$3.5K on it

  1. 1byu5no record yet$2.7K+$52 lifetime
  2. 2SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$333+$48K lifetime
  3. 3dcog42% won of 12$146+$23 lifetime
  4. 4Kooooejj40% won of 218$80−$105 lifetime
  5. 5limeta488% won of 1,158$78−$518 lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party win the MO-06 House seat?"?

37 wallets hold a position worth $3.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 37 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gaditima, with $39 on it, $432K lifetime loss over 12,108 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is byu5, with $2.7K on it, $52 lifetime profit.

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party win the MO-06 House seat?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $39K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

38% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 56 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 25 points. A week ago, No by 29 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.