Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the IL-02 House seat?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 66% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 16 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $19K traded all time
- Held now
- $195 by 23 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 66% 15 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 50% 8 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
66% of the money on Yes and 50% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 16 points. A week ago, Yes by 57 points.
Who holds it
23 wallets hold a position worth $195 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 23 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938, with $5 on it, $129K lifetime profit over 9,933 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is FrankyFourFingers, with $85 on it, $7.0K lifetime loss over 264 markets (69% won).
- Holders
- 15
- Money on it
- $21
- Holders' win rate
- 48%
- Holders
- 8
- Money on it
- $174
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$21 on it
- 10x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 9,933 · whale$5+$129K lifetime
- 2awgraewrfa100% won of 5$4−$189 lifetime
- 3Biver5228% won of 360 · noise$3+$6.4K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,324 · noise$2+$254K lifetime
- 5BSS3728% won of 337 · noise$2+$7.9K lifetime
No$174 on it
- 1FrankyFourFingers69% won of 264$85−$7.0K lifetime
- 2K00ldr4g0n42% won of 611 · noise$56+$134K lifetime
- 3cowcat68% won of 1,069 · whale$19+$72K lifetime
- 488mnm88100% won of 215 · whale$5+$12K lifetime
- 5Colala61% won of 7,860 · whale$5+$23K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in IL-02 House Election Winner
1 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
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- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the IL-02 House seat?"?
23 wallets hold a position worth $195 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 23 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938, with $5 on it, $129K lifetime profit over 9,933 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is FrankyFourFingers, with $85 on it, $7.0K lifetime loss over 264 markets (69% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the IL-02 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
66% of the money on Yes and 50% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 16 points. A week ago, Yes by 57 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.