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Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the FL-28 House seat?”?

Politics$39K traded27 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
93%Yes🧠 smart money
8%No

Smart money leans Yes: 76% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 11 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$39K
traded all time
Held now
$2.5K
by 27 wallets
Smart share · Yes
76%
18 scored holders
Smart share · No
64%
9 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 93¢ and No at 8¢, a 93% implied chance of Yes. $39K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

76% of the money on Yes and 64% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 11 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 44 points. A week ago, Yes by 42 points.

Who holds it

27 wallets hold a position worth $2.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 27 of them. The largest Yes holder is SitsToPee, with $1.5K on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $58 on it, $254K lifetime profit over 123,171 markets (40% won).

Yes93%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share76% ▼ 20 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 97%a day ago 96%now 76%
Holders
18
Money on it
$2.3K
Holders' win rate
54%
No8%
Smart money share64% ▲ 13 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 55%a day ago 51%now 64%
Holders
9
Money on it
$182
Holders' win rate
41%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$2.3K on it

  1. 1SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$1.5K+$48K lifetime
  2. 2Haradwaith50% won of 53,882$329−$377K lifetime
  3. 3SmartBoyBilly58% won of 2,611$104−$8.9K lifetime
  4. 40x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$68+$127K lifetime
  5. 5eggcel100% won of 24$54+$15 lifetime

No$182 on it

  1. 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,171 · noise$58+$254K lifetime
  2. 2cowcat68% won of 1,068 · whale$56+$63K lifetime
  3. 3Oklmntrader13% won of 577$42−$173K lifetime
  4. 4Dr.PNL30% won of 15,234$15−$485K lifetime
  5. 5ABC1234565432148% won of 5,905$6−$1.2K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the FL-28 House seat?"?

27 wallets hold a position worth $2.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 27 of them. The largest Yes holder is SitsToPee, with $1.5K on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $58 on it, $254K lifetime profit over 123,171 markets (40% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the FL-28 House seat?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 93¢ and No at 8¢, a 93% implied chance of Yes. $39K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

76% of the money on Yes and 64% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 11 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 44 points. A week ago, Yes by 42 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.