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Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party win the FL-28 House seat?”?

Politics$38K traded39 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
6%Yes
94%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 99% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 62 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$38K
traded all time
Held now
$8.1K
by 39 wallets
Smart share · Yes
37%
25 scored holders
Smart share · No
99%
14 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $38K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

37% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 62 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 58 points. A week ago, No by 50 points.

Who holds it

39 wallets hold a position worth $8.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 39 of them. The largest Yes holder is resfeber, with $121 on it, $9.7K lifetime loss over 1,580 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is SitsToPee, with $7.0K on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won).

Yes6%
Smart money share37% ▼ 4 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 47%a day ago 41%now 37%
Holders
25
Money on it
$488
Holders' win rate
49%
No94%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share99%
7 days ago 98%a day ago 99%now 99%
Holders
14
Money on it
$7.6K
Holders' win rate
54%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$488 on it

  1. 1resfeber42% won of 1,580$121−$9.7K lifetime
  2. 20x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$90+$127K lifetime
  3. 3cowcat68% won of 1,068 · whale$66+$63K lifetime
  4. 4ABC1234565432148% won of 5,905$49−$1.2K lifetime
  5. 5littlebird55% won of 149$36−$42K lifetime

No$7.6K on it

  1. 1SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$7.0K+$48K lifetime
  2. 2NotAnIdiot48% won of 1,435 · balanced$165+$1.5K lifetime
  3. 3zurbagan-pesnyatakaya70% won of 20$59+$7 lifetime
  4. 4ffgereskross5368100% won of 15$55+$5 lifetime
  5. 5immanuelcan78% won of 1,011 · whale$53+$39K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party win the FL-28 House seat?"?

39 wallets hold a position worth $8.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 39 of them. The largest Yes holder is resfeber, with $121 on it, $9.7K lifetime loss over 1,580 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is SitsToPee, with $7.0K on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party win the FL-28 House seat?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $38K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

37% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 62 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 58 points. A week ago, No by 50 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.