Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $52K traded all time
- Held now
- $13K by 89 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 91% 57 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 87% 32 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 84¢ and No at 16¢, an 84% implied chance of Yes. $52K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
91% of the money on Yes and 87% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 7 points. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
89 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 89 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xc8b9…b836, with $6.1K on it, $371K lifetime profit over 552 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is SitsToPee, with $836 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won).
- Holders
- 57
- Money on it
- $11K
- Holders' win rate
- 67%
- Holders
- 32
- Money on it
- $1.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$11K on it
- 10xc8b9…b83664% won of 552 · whale$6.1K+$371K lifetime
- 2HotDogs93% won of 617 · whale$924+$21K lifetime
- 30x120b3E2E98fC4fe8C383C70867fD635669F1eE03-173049199943099% won of 129 · balanced$756+$12K lifetime
- 4Gl4d60% won of 1,095 · whale$588+$37K lifetime
- 5300PS47% won of 2,053 · whale$420+$22K lifetime
No$1.2K on it
- 1SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$836+$48K lifetime
- 2donthackme29% won of 87,178 · noise$140+$829K lifetime
- 3Gaditima49% won of 12,111$80−$434K lifetime
- 4rocky4201056% won of 658 · whale$36+$14K lifetime
- 5Elias.Thornwell69% won of 3,136 · whale$36+$560 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in FL-26 House Election Winner
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?"?
89 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 89 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xc8b9…b836, with $6.1K on it, $371K lifetime profit over 552 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is SitsToPee, with $836 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 84¢ and No at 16¢, an 84% implied chance of Yes. $52K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
91% of the money on Yes and 87% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 7 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.