Live on Polymarket

Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party win the FL-26 House seat?”?

Politics$48K traded65 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
14%Yes
86%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 88% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 8 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$48K
traded all time
Held now
$4.9K
by 65 wallets
Smart share · Yes
80%
30 scored holders
Smart share · No
88%
35 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of No. $48K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

80% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 8 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 8 points.

Who holds it

65 wallets hold a position worth $4.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 65 of them. The largest Yes holder is SitsToPee, with $724 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is HotDogs, with $1.5K on it, $21K lifetime profit over 617 markets (93% won).

Yes14%
Smart money share80%
7 days ago 88%a day ago 80%now 80%
Holders
30
Money on it
$1.4K
Holders' win rate
52%
No86%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share88% ▲ 8 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 96%a day ago 80%now 88%
Holders
35
Money on it
$3.5K
Holders' win rate
74%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$1.4K on it

  1. 1SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$724+$48K lifetime
  2. 20x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 9,933 · whale$138+$129K lifetime
  3. 3AxelTapper100% won of 1$88+$6 lifetime
  4. 4ABC1234565432148% won of 6,025$84−$1.3K lifetime
  5. 5Jep-G52% won of 1,050 · whale$73+$100K lifetime

No$3.5K on it

  1. 1HotDogs93% won of 617 · whale$1.5K+$21K lifetime
  2. 20xc8b9…b83664% won of 552 · whale$851+$371K lifetime
  3. 3wqeewqeadawfawfwa42% won of 1,925$355−$9.8K lifetime
  4. 4Elias.Thornwell69% won of 3,136 · whale$313+$560 lifetime
  5. 5El-popo95% won of 237 · grinder$146+$308 lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party win the FL-26 House seat?"?

65 wallets hold a position worth $4.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 65 of them. The largest Yes holder is SitsToPee, with $724 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is HotDogs, with $1.5K on it, $21K lifetime profit over 617 markets (93% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party win the FL-26 House seat?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of No. $48K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

80% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 8 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 8 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.