Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat?”?
Smart money leans No: 46% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 22 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $71K traded all time
- Held now
- $23K by 123 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 24% 51 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 46% 72 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 24¢ and No at 77¢, a 77% implied chance of No. $71K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
24% of the money on Yes and 46% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 19 points. A week ago, Yes by 6 points.
Who holds it
123 wallets hold a position worth $23K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 123 of them. The largest Yes holder is bruhzil, with $5.5K on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is ZhouCD, with $3.0K on it, $18K lifetime loss over 2,459 markets (49% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $288 on Yes; the insider radar has flagged 1 wallet betting $4.2K on Yes.
- Holders
- 51
- Money on it
- $7.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Snipers
- 1 · $288
- Insider flags
- 1 · $4.2K
- Holders
- 72
- Money on it
- $15K
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$7.7K on it
- 1bruhzilno record yet$5.5K+$0 lifetime
- 2DirkDiggler6758% won of 1,069 · whale$833+$141K lifetime
- 3cocococococo54% won of 1,420 · whale$380+$107K lifetime
- 4FrozenParasite71% won of 1,432 · sniper$288+$244K lifetime
- 5dawgschytt0% won of 2$141−$13K lifetime
No$15K on it
- 1ZhouCD49% won of 2,459$3.0K−$18K lifetime
- 2sbimbg84% won of 1,403 · whale$2.0K+$115K lifetime
- 3aenews273% won of 1,134 · whale$1.1K+$2.4M lifetime
- 4Haradwaith50% won of 54,058$1.1K−$377K lifetime
- 5donthackme29% won of 87,062 · noise$1.0K+$829K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in FL-25 House Election Winner
1 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat?"?
123 wallets hold a position worth $23K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 123 of them. The largest Yes holder is bruhzil, with $5.5K on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is ZhouCD, with $3.0K on it, $18K lifetime loss over 2,459 markets (49% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 24¢ and No at 77¢, a 77% implied chance of No. $71K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
24% of the money on Yes and 46% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 19 points. A week ago, Yes by 6 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Is there insider betting on this market?
1 wallet on Yes ($4.2K) match the pattern of insider bets: a fresh or dormant wallet putting a lot on long odds. A flag is a pattern, not proof.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.