Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $35K traded all time
- Held now
- $13K by 102 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 55% 56 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 52% 45 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 77¢ and No at 24¢, a 77% implied chance of Yes. $35K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
55% of the money on Yes and 52% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 7 points. A week ago, Yes by 32 points.
Who holds it
102 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 101 of them. The largest Yes holder is cigarettes, with $2.8K on it, $52K lifetime loss over 49,296 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is DirkDiggler67, with $210 on it, $141K lifetime profit over 1,069 markets (58% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $23 on No.
- Holders
- 57
- Money on it
- $12K
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
- Holders
- 45
- Money on it
- $755
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
- Snipers
- 1 · $23
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$12K on it
- 1cigarettes46% won of 49,296$2.8K−$52K lifetime
- 2sbimbg84% won of 1,403 · whale$2.2K+$115K lifetime
- 3aenews273% won of 1,134 · whale$1.3K+$2.4M lifetime
- 4whispercatalyst49% won of 2,931$751−$5.6K lifetime
- 50x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$726+$127K lifetime
No$755 on it
- 1DirkDiggler6758% won of 1,069 · whale$210+$141K lifetime
- 2rocky4201552% won of 1,056$192−$15K lifetime
- 30xba46…2b6650% won of 2$61+$266 lifetime
- 4Albedo0034% won of 595$40−$270K lifetime
- 5purplegatto73% won of 3,511$32−$1.9M lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in FL-25 House Election Winner
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- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
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- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat?"?
102 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 101 of them. The largest Yes holder is cigarettes, with $2.8K on it, $52K lifetime loss over 49,296 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is DirkDiggler67, with $210 on it, $141K lifetime profit over 1,069 markets (58% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 77¢ and No at 24¢, a 77% implied chance of Yes. $35K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
55% of the money on Yes and 52% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 7 points. A week ago, Yes by 32 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.