Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the FL-20 House seat?”?
Smart money leans No: 85% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 55 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $15K traded all time
- Held now
- $445 by 20 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 31% 13 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 85% 7 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
31% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 55 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 52 points. A week ago, No by 58 points.
Who holds it
20 wallets hold a position worth $445 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 20 of them. The largest Yes holder is Dr.PNL, with $16 on it, $485K lifetime loss over 15,261 markets (30% won). The largest No holder is anciano, with $288 on it, $37K lifetime profit over 1,299 markets (49% won).
- Holders
- 13
- Money on it
- $29
- Holders' win rate
- 36%
- Holders
- 7
- Money on it
- $416
- Holders' win rate
- 49%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$29 on it
- 1Dr.PNL30% won of 15,261$16−$485K lifetime
- 2SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$4+$48K lifetime
- 30x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$3+$127K lifetime
- 4Biver5228% won of 360 · noise$2+$6.4K lifetime
- 5ABC1234565432148% won of 5,905$1−$1.2K lifetime
No$416 on it
- 1anciano49% won of 1,299 · whale$288+$37K lifetime
- 2HerrieDavis63% won of 2,687 · whale$37+$325K lifetime
- 30x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-179243706475847% won of 827$37−$8.4K lifetime
- 4donthackme29% won of 86,904 · noise$30+$829K lifetime
- 5noise126trader63% won of 208$22−$551 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the FL-20 House seat?"?
20 wallets hold a position worth $445 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 20 of them. The largest Yes holder is Dr.PNL, with $16 on it, $485K lifetime loss over 15,261 markets (30% won). The largest No holder is anciano, with $288 on it, $37K lifetime profit over 1,299 markets (49% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the FL-20 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
31% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 55 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 52 points. A week ago, No by 58 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.