Live on Polymarket

Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party win the FL-20 House seat?”?

Politics$28K traded39 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
98%Yes
2%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 88% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 28 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$28K
traded all time
Held now
$8.7K
by 39 wallets
Smart share · Yes
61%
15 scored holders
Smart share · No
88%
24 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 98¢ and No at 2¢, a 98% implied chance of Yes. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

61% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 28 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 28 points. A week ago, No by 28 points.

Who holds it

39 wallets hold a position worth $8.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 39 of them. The largest Yes holder is purplegatto, with $3.3K on it, $1.9M lifetime loss over 3,502 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is GayPride, with $102 on it, $655K lifetime profit over 674 markets (80% won).

Yes98%
Smart money share61%
7 days ago 61%a day ago 61%now 61%
Holders
15
Money on it
$8.6K
Holders' win rate
78%
No2%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share88%
7 days ago 88%a day ago 89%now 88%
Holders
24
Money on it
$165
Holders' win rate
67%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$8.6K on it

  1. 1purplegatto73% won of 3,502$3.3K−$1.9M lifetime
  2. 2byu5no record yet$3.1K+$52 lifetime
  3. 30x120b3E2E98fC4fe8C383C70867fD635669F1eE03-173049199943099% won of 129 · balanced$1.3K+$12K lifetime
  4. 4Ryxon2181% won of 609 · whale$271+$133K lifetime
  5. 5SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$192+$48K lifetime

No$165 on it

  1. 1GayPride80% won of 674 · whale$102+$655K lifetime
  2. 2Nadmi35% won of 1,251 · noise$28+$154K lifetime
  3. 3FrankyFourFingers69% won of 264$8−$7.0K lifetime
  4. 4Dr.PNL30% won of 15,261$7−$485K lifetime
  5. 5b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.98% won of 3,362 · whale$4+$22K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party win the FL-20 House seat?"?

39 wallets hold a position worth $8.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 39 of them. The largest Yes holder is purplegatto, with $3.3K on it, $1.9M lifetime loss over 3,502 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is GayPride, with $102 on it, $655K lifetime profit over 674 markets (80% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party win the FL-20 House seat?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 98¢ and No at 2¢, a 98% implied chance of Yes. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

61% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 28 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 28 points. A week ago, No by 28 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.