Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the FL-11 House seat?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 75% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 38 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $16K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.4K by 36 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 75% 15 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 37% 21 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 88¢ and No at 13¢, an 88% implied chance of Yes. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
75% of the money on Yes and 37% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 38 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 38 points. A week ago, Yes by 31 points.
Who holds it
36 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 36 of them. The largest Yes holder is Paeniscus., with $737 on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 80 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is Dr.PNL, with $36 on it, $485K lifetime loss over 15,261 markets (30% won).
- Holders
- 15
- Money on it
- $2.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 71%
- Holders
- 21
- Money on it
- $127
- Holders' win rate
- 44%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.3K on it
- 1Paeniscus.70% won of 80 · balanced$737+$4.5K lifetime
- 2cowcat68% won of 1,069 · whale$452+$72K lifetime
- 3HotDogs93% won of 617 · whale$438+$21K lifetime
- 4wqeewqeadawfawfwa42% won of 1,925$277−$9.8K lifetime
- 5GUINESS12370% won of 547$249−$59K lifetime
No$127 on it
- 1Dr.PNL30% won of 15,261$36−$485K lifetime
- 2BASSATS0152% won of 322 · whale$32+$1.8K lifetime
- 30x295542613a56F22F0B726B1D26DC4Eaf681e0738-178090330758946% won of 248$19−$1.6K lifetime
- 4cigarettes46% won of 49,227$15−$49K lifetime
- 5flow-trader-at-optiver85% won of 223 · whale$5+$27K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in FL-11 House Election Winner
1 moreOther big politics markets
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- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the FL-11 House seat?"?
36 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 36 of them. The largest Yes holder is Paeniscus., with $737 on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 80 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is Dr.PNL, with $36 on it, $485K lifetime loss over 15,261 markets (30% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the FL-11 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 88¢ and No at 13¢, an 88% implied chance of Yes. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
75% of the money on Yes and 37% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 38 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 38 points. A week ago, Yes by 31 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.