Live on Polymarket

Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party win the FL-11 House seat?”?

Politics$28K traded42 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
13%Yes
87%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 95% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 64 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$28K
traded all time
Held now
$6.4K
by 42 wallets
Smart share · Yes
31%
23 scored holders
Smart share · No
95%
18 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 13¢ and No at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of No. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

31% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 64 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 63 points. A week ago, No by 64 points.

Who holds it

42 wallets hold a position worth $6.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 41 of them. The largest Yes holder is cigarettes, with $316 on it, $48K lifetime loss over 49,151 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is flexibleagedbeef, with $2.2K on it, $2.3K lifetime profit over 11 markets (91% won).

Yes13%
Smart money share31%
7 days ago 25%a day ago 31%now 31%
Holders
24
Money on it
$1.0K
Holders' win rate
47%
No87%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share95%
7 days ago 90%a day ago 94%now 95%
Holders
18
Money on it
$5.4K
Holders' win rate
75%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$1.0K on it

  1. 1cigarettes46% won of 49,151$316−$48K lifetime
  2. 20x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$144+$127K lifetime
  3. 3Gaditima49% won of 12,107$130−$433K lifetime
  4. 4AxelTapper100% won of 1$78+$6 lifetime
  5. 50x8351…9beb50% won of 535$70−$15K lifetime

No$5.4K on it

  1. 1flexibleagedbeef91% won of 11$2.2K+$2.3K lifetime
  2. 2Paeniscus.70% won of 80 · balanced$1.8K+$4.5K lifetime
  3. 3cowcat68% won of 1,069 · whale$392+$72K lifetime
  4. 40x9dd9…08bd16% won of 740 · noise$348+$36K lifetime
  5. 5wqeewqeadawfawfwa42% won of 1,925$135−$9.8K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

More markets in FL-11 House Election Winner

1 more
Who's betting on FL-11 House Election Winner →

Other big politics markets

Every big politics market →

Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party win the FL-11 House seat?"?

42 wallets hold a position worth $6.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 41 of them. The largest Yes holder is cigarettes, with $316 on it, $48K lifetime loss over 49,151 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is flexibleagedbeef, with $2.2K on it, $2.3K lifetime profit over 11 markets (91% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party win the FL-11 House seat?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 13¢ and No at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of No. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

31% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 64 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 63 points. A week ago, No by 64 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.