Live on Polymarket

Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the FL-09 House seat?”?

Politics$16K traded52 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
69%Yes🧠 smart money
32%No

Smart money leans Yes: 50% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 44 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$16K
traded all time
Held now
$2.5K
by 52 wallets
Smart share · Yes
50%
32 scored holders
Smart share · No
6%
20 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 69¢ and No at 32¢, a 69% implied chance of Yes. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

50% of the money on Yes and 6% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 44 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 44 points. A week ago, Yes by 32 points.

Who holds it

52 wallets hold a position worth $2.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 52 of them. The largest Yes holder is anoin123, with $497 on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is AnEggplant, with $236 on it, $5.7K lifetime loss over 317 markets (46% won).

Yes69%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share50%
7 days ago 52%a day ago 50%now 50%
Holders
32
Money on it
$1.9K
Holders' win rate
54%
No32%
Smart money share6%
7 days ago 20%a day ago 6%now 6%
Holders
20
Money on it
$556
Holders' win rate
51%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$1.9K on it

  1. 1anoin12359% won of 1,608$497−$4.7M lifetime
  2. 20x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 9,933 · whale$397+$129K lifetime
  3. 3peepeepooppoop64% won of 1,566 · whale$180+$33K lifetime
  4. 4macrosteaks64% won of 2,637$120−$8.2K lifetime
  5. 50x65bb…e76f58% won of 19$82+$23 lifetime

No$556 on it

  1. 1AnEggplant46% won of 317$236−$5.7K lifetime
  2. 2cigarettes46% won of 49,301$158−$52K lifetime
  3. 30x7F883cD0a3259D1BC640C0E19A72a0f2D6c7f76e-179175406304655% won of 11$78−$400 lifetime
  4. 4FrankyFourFingers69% won of 264$48−$7.0K lifetime
  5. 5b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.98% won of 3,389 · whale$16+$22K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the FL-09 House seat?"?

52 wallets hold a position worth $2.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 52 of them. The largest Yes holder is anoin123, with $497 on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is AnEggplant, with $236 on it, $5.7K lifetime loss over 317 markets (46% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the FL-09 House seat?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 69¢ and No at 32¢, a 69% implied chance of Yes. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

50% of the money on Yes and 6% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 44 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 44 points. A week ago, Yes by 32 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.