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Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?”?

Politics$12K traded49 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
31%Yes🧠 smart money
69%No

Smart money leans Yes: 87% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 36 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$12K
traded all time
Held now
$1.5K
by 49 wallets
Smart share · Yes
87%
27 scored holders
Smart share · No
50%
22 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 31¢ and No at 69¢, a 69% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

87% of the money on Yes and 50% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 36 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 30 points.

Who holds it

49 wallets hold a position worth $1.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 49 of them. The largest Yes holder is anciano, with $159 on it, $37K lifetime profit over 1,299 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is macrosteaks, with $139 on it, $8.2K lifetime loss over 2,614 markets (64% won).

Yes31%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share87% ▲ 10 pts in 24 h
a day ago 77%now 87%
Holders
27
Money on it
$692
Holders' win rate
50%
No69%
Smart money share50% ▲ 4 pts in 24 h
a day ago 47%now 50%
Holders
22
Money on it
$826
Holders' win rate
61%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$692 on it

  1. 1anciano49% won of 1,299 · whale$159+$37K lifetime
  2. 2stephansmith200459% won of 44 · balanced$145+$162 lifetime
  3. 3Poivre26% won of 357 · noise$87+$2.8K lifetime
  4. 4mwenya51% won of 1,060 · whale$79+$114K lifetime
  5. 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$73+$255K lifetime

No$826 on it

  1. 1macrosteaks64% won of 2,614$139−$8.2K lifetime
  2. 2asdasdasdasdasdasdasd76% won of 241 · balanced$91+$23K lifetime
  3. 3GUINESS12370% won of 547$88−$59K lifetime
  4. 4alijbee62% won of 220 · balanced$85+$1.4K lifetime
  5. 5DuneMentat74% won of 841$77−$12K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?"?

49 wallets hold a position worth $1.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 49 of them. The largest Yes holder is anciano, with $159 on it, $37K lifetime profit over 1,299 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is macrosteaks, with $139 on it, $8.2K lifetime loss over 2,614 markets (64% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 31¢ and No at 69¢, a 69% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

87% of the money on Yes and 50% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 36 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 30 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.