Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the CA-48 House seat?”?
Smart money leans No: 88% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 58 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $19K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.3K by 41 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 30% 29 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 88% 12 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
30% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 58 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 58 points. A week ago, No by 60 points.
Who holds it
41 wallets hold a position worth $1.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 41 of them. The largest Yes holder is Oklmntrader, with $65 on it, $173K lifetime loss over 577 markets (13% won). The largest No holder is SitsToPee, with $543 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won).
- Holders
- 29
- Money on it
- $233
- Holders' win rate
- 40%
- Holders
- 12
- Money on it
- $1.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$233 on it
- 1Oklmntrader13% won of 577$65−$173K lifetime
- 2anoin12359% won of 1,608$60−$4.7M lifetime
- 30x9dd9…08bd16% won of 740 · noise$18+$36K lifetime
- 40x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$17+$127K lifetime
- 5FrankyFourFingers69% won of 264$15−$7.0K lifetime
No$1.1K on it
- 1SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$543+$48K lifetime
- 2anciano49% won of 1,299 · whale$235+$37K lifetime
- 3mountaindewd67% won of 653 · whale$188+$174K lifetime
- 4tsnycpm178% won of 255$118−$1.3K lifetime
- 5rocky4201552% won of 1,056$12−$15K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in CA-48 House Election Winner
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the CA-48 House seat?"?
41 wallets hold a position worth $1.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 41 of them. The largest Yes holder is Oklmntrader, with $65 on it, $173K lifetime loss over 577 markets (13% won). The largest No holder is SitsToPee, with $543 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the CA-48 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
30% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 58 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 58 points. A week ago, No by 60 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.