Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party win the CA-48 House seat?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $28K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.9K by 39 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 15% 8 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- - 31 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 94¢ and No at 6¢, a 94% implied chance of Yes. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
39 wallets hold a position worth $6.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 39 of them. The largest Yes holder is Shady-Tool, with $4.7K on it, $40K lifetime loss over 578 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is macrosteaks, with $79 on it, $7.8K lifetime loss over 2,680 markets (64% won).
- Holders
- 8
- Money on it
- $6.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 75%
- Holders
- 31
- Money on it
- $259
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$6.6K on it
- 1Shady-Tool80% won of 578$4.7K−$40K lifetime
- 2Gamble.and.bankurpt62% won of 210$782−$25K lifetime
- 3mountaindewd67% won of 653 · whale$752+$174K lifetime
- 4HerrieDavis62% won of 2,749 · whale$203+$328K lifetime
- 50x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-179243706475847% won of 890$136−$10K lifetime
No$259 on it
- 1macrosteaks64% won of 2,680$79−$7.8K lifetime
- 274-7542% won of 96$66−$3.0K lifetime
- 3cigarettes46% won of 50,308$30−$49K lifetime
- 40x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 11,106 · whale$27+$135K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 130,092 · noise$18+$271K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party win the CA-48 House seat?"?
39 wallets hold a position worth $6.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 39 of them. The largest Yes holder is Shady-Tool, with $4.7K on it, $40K lifetime loss over 578 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is macrosteaks, with $79 on it, $7.8K lifetime loss over 2,680 markets (64% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party win the CA-48 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 94¢ and No at 6¢, a 94% implied chance of Yes. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.