Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the CA-18 House seat?”?
Smart money leans No: 100% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 64 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $19K traded all time
- Held now
- $847 by 35 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 36% 21 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 100% 14 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
36% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 64 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 63 points. A week ago, No by 64 points.
Who holds it
35 wallets hold a position worth $847 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 35 of them. The largest Yes holder is thecaricature, with $14 on it, $7.9K lifetime loss over 717 markets (44% won). The largest No holder is cowcat, with $509 on it, $72K lifetime profit over 1,069 markets (68% won).
- Holders
- 21
- Money on it
- $28
- Holders' win rate
- 43%
- Holders
- 14
- Money on it
- $820
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$28 on it
- 1thecaricature44% won of 717$14−$7.9K lifetime
- 2akunai45% won of 417 · whale$2+$2.3K lifetime
- 3Biver5228% won of 360 · noise$2+$6.4K lifetime
- 4hadarhaddad49% won of 946 · balanced$2+$2.6K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,511 · noise$2+$254K lifetime
No$820 on it
- 1cowcat68% won of 1,069 · whale$509+$72K lifetime
- 20x9dd9…08bd16% won of 740 · noise$122+$36K lifetime
- 35atka60% won of 228 · whale$98+$9.9K lifetime
- 4immanuelcan78% won of 1,011 · whale$49+$39K lifetime
- 5i2dt71% won of 356 · whale$34+$17K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the CA-18 House seat?"?
35 wallets hold a position worth $847 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 35 of them. The largest Yes holder is thecaricature, with $14 on it, $7.9K lifetime loss over 717 markets (44% won). The largest No holder is cowcat, with $509 on it, $72K lifetime profit over 1,069 markets (68% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the CA-18 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
36% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 64 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 63 points. A week ago, No by 64 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.