Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party win the CA-18 House seat?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $31K traded all time
- Held now
- $11K by 27 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 98% 15 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 99% 12 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 98¢ and No at 2¢, a 98% implied chance of Yes. $31K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
98% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
27 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 27 of them. The largest Yes holder is 123905, with $9.6K on it, $6.9K lifetime profit over 5 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is GayPride, with $162 on it, $655K lifetime profit over 674 markets (80% won).
- Holders
- 15
- Money on it
- $11K
- Holders' win rate
- 99%
- Holders
- 12
- Money on it
- $173
- Holders' win rate
- 79%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$11K on it
- 1123905100% won of 5$9.6K+$6.9K lifetime
- 20x120b3E2E98fC4fe8C383C70867fD635669F1eE03-173049199943099% won of 129 · balanced$626+$12K lifetime
- 3Hyperlong51% won of 1,296$246−$59K lifetime
- 4immanuelcan78% won of 1,011 · whale$59+$39K lifetime
- 5chethyg100% won of 17$44+$5 lifetime
No$173 on it
- 1GayPride80% won of 674 · whale$162+$655K lifetime
- 2planktonXD76% won of 6,321 · whale$5+$132K lifetime
- 3Dr.PNL30% won of 15,294$1−$485K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,324 · noise$1+$254K lifetime
- 5NotAnIdiot48% won of 1,435 · balanced$1+$1.5K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party win the CA-18 House seat?"?
27 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 27 of them. The largest Yes holder is 123905, with $9.6K on it, $6.9K lifetime profit over 5 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is GayPride, with $162 on it, $655K lifetime profit over 674 markets (80% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party win the CA-18 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 98¢ and No at 2¢, a 98% implied chance of Yes. $31K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
98% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.