Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $25K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.2K by 87 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 72% 51 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 76% 35 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 44¢ and No at 56¢, a 56% implied chance of No. $25K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
The smart money
72% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 16 points. A week ago, Yes by 13 points.
Who holds it
87 wallets hold a position worth $4.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 86 of them. The largest Yes holder is NotHarrisonHohman, with $1.3K on it, $785 lifetime profit over 8 markets (88% won). The largest No holder is DirkDiggler67, with $321 on it, $141K lifetime profit over 1,069 markets (58% won).
- Holders
- 52
- Money on it
- $3.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 75%
- Holders
- 35
- Money on it
- $784
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3.4K on it
- 1NotHarrisonHohman88% won of 8$1.3K+$785 lifetime
- 2eqzwe103qwie64% won of 385$226−$416 lifetime
- 30x9e24bD0ebC6A423C43cf600E7bF1170A867B7e71-177563255369980% won of 1,156 · balanced$207+$1.7K lifetime
- 4FOW66% won of 101 · balanced$200+$1.4K lifetime
- 5StraddleSeller69% won of 550 · whale$188+$55K lifetime
No$784 on it
- 1DirkDiggler6758% won of 1,069 · whale$321+$141K lifetime
- 2Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed56% won of 15,906 · whale$135+$163K lifetime
- 3cigarettes46% won of 49,151$128−$48K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$64+$255K lifetime
- 5PPMT70% won of 56,626 · whale$34+$16K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?"?
87 wallets hold a position worth $4.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 86 of them. The largest Yes holder is NotHarrisonHohman, with $1.3K on it, $785 lifetime profit over 8 markets (88% won). The largest No holder is DirkDiggler67, with $321 on it, $141K lifetime profit over 1,069 markets (58% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 44¢ and No at 56¢, a 56% implied chance of No. $25K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
72% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 16 points. A week ago, Yes by 13 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.