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Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?”?

Politics$23K traded85 holdersEnds November 3, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
53%Yes🧠 smart money
48%No

Smart money leans Yes: 89% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 20 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$23K
traded all time
Held now
$5.3K
by 85 wallets
Smart share · Yes
89%
41 scored holders
Smart share · No
70%
44 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 53¢ and No at 48¢, a 53% implied chance of Yes. $23K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.

The smart money

89% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 20 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 13 points.

Who holds it

85 wallets hold a position worth $5.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 85 of them. The largest Yes holder is DirkDiggler67, with $3.2K on it, $141K lifetime profit over 1,069 markets (58% won). The largest No holder is clazzy1, with $231 on it, $27K lifetime profit over 622 markets (69% won).

Yes53%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share89% ▲ 8 pts in 24 h
a day ago 82%now 89%
Holders
41
Money on it
$4.4K
Holders' win rate
58%
No48%
Smart money share70%
a day ago 69%now 70%
Holders
44
Money on it
$936
Holders' win rate
55%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$4.4K on it

  1. 1DirkDiggler6758% won of 1,069 · whale$3.2K+$141K lifetime
  2. 2macrosteaks64% won of 2,609$363−$7.8K lifetime
  3. 3cocococococo54% won of 1,415 · whale$290+$107K lifetime
  4. 40x6b25…7a6953% won of 2,153 · whale$121+$18K lifetime
  5. 5oneoftheppl58% won of 850 · whale$79+$13K lifetime

No$936 on it

  1. 1clazzy169% won of 622 · whale$231+$27K lifetime
  2. 2cigarettes46% won of 49,080$146−$49K lifetime
  3. 3Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed56% won of 15,901 · whale$135+$164K lifetime
  4. 4donthackme29% won of 86,863 · noise$83+$828K lifetime
  5. 5bittersahu76% won of 74 · balanced$38+$264 lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?"?

85 wallets hold a position worth $5.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 85 of them. The largest Yes holder is DirkDiggler67, with $3.2K on it, $141K lifetime profit over 1,069 markets (58% won). The largest No holder is clazzy1, with $231 on it, $27K lifetime profit over 622 markets (69% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 53¢ and No at 48¢, a 53% implied chance of Yes. $23K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

89% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 20 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 13 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.