Who's betting on “Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?”?
Smart money leans No: 79% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 31 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $42K traded all time
- Held now
- $10.0K by 121 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 49% 70 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 79% 51 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 75¢ and No at 25¢, a 75% implied chance of Yes. $42K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
The smart money
49% of the money on Yes and 79% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 26 points. A week ago, Yes by 19 points.
Who holds it
121 wallets hold a position worth $10.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 121 of them. The largest Yes holder is trx1, with $2.4K on it, $5.9K lifetime loss over 578 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is 0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d, with $1.4K on it, $31K lifetime profit over 312 markets (65% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $444 on Yes.
- Holders
- 70
- Money on it
- $7.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
- Snipers
- 1 · $444
- Holders
- 51
- Money on it
- $2.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$7.9K on it
- 1trx167% won of 578$2.4K−$5.9K lifetime
- 2smellyEllie50% won of 1,984 · whale$1.6K+$106K lifetime
- 3plla63% won of 238 · balanced$475+$18K lifetime
- 4wefwfwejkmld28% won of 1,227$463−$3.6K lifetime
- 5Outsmarter75% won of 153 · sniper$444+$75K lifetime
No$2.0K on it
- 10xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d65% won of 312 · whale$1.4K+$31K lifetime
- 2rocky4200448% won of 802$283−$16K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,247 · noise$63+$255K lifetime
- 4Fihdrzgdd40% won of 3,576$38−$20K lifetime
- 512398745644% won of 2,427 · whale$25+$50K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place?
1 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?"?
121 wallets hold a position worth $10.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 121 of them. The largest Yes holder is trx1, with $2.4K on it, $5.9K lifetime loss over 578 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is 0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d, with $1.4K on it, $31K lifetime profit over 312 markets (65% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 75¢ and No at 25¢, a 75% implied chance of Yes. $42K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
49% of the money on Yes and 79% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 26 points. A week ago, Yes by 19 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.