Who's betting on “Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027?”?
Smart money leans No: 76% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 61 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $15K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.7K by 51 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 15% 34 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 76% 17 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
The smart money
15% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 61 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 67 points. A week ago, No by 29 points.
Who holds it
51 wallets hold a position worth $3.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 51 of them. The largest Yes holder is trx1, with $113 on it, $5.9K lifetime loss over 578 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is smellyEllie, with $2.0K on it, $106K lifetime profit over 1,984 markets (50% won).
- Holders
- 34
- Money on it
- $305
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Holders
- 17
- Money on it
- $3.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$305 on it
- 1trx167% won of 578$113−$5.9K lifetime
- 2serg4734% won of 94$48−$1.0K lifetime
- 3amused8583% won of 205$37−$133K lifetime
- 42B9S27% won of 14,477 · noise$15+$97K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$13+$255K lifetime
No$3.4K on it
- 1smellyEllie50% won of 1,984 · whale$2.0K+$106K lifetime
- 2nero258982% won of 207$743−$49K lifetime
- 3Faston83% won of 712 · balanced$190+$9.4K lifetime
- 4Te0n261% won of 836 · whale$95+$43K lifetime
- 5Peaven74% won of 230 · balanced$95+$1.4K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027?"?
51 wallets hold a position worth $3.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 51 of them. The largest Yes holder is trx1, with $113 on it, $5.9K lifetime loss over 578 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is smellyEllie, with $2.0K on it, $106K lifetime profit over 1,984 markets (50% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
15% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 61 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 67 points. A week ago, No by 29 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.