Who's betting on “Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 61% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 18 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.1K by 77 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 61% 44 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 43% 33 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 55¢ and No at 46¢, a 55% implied chance of Yes. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2026.
The smart money
61% of the money on Yes and 43% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 10 points. A week ago, Yes by 6 points.
Who holds it
77 wallets hold a position worth $2.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 77 of them. The largest Yes holder is 1walrus, with $469 on it, $38K lifetime profit over 1,303 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is Kaeld1, with $79 on it, $97 lifetime loss over 30 markets (90% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $32 on Yes.
- Holders
- 44
- Money on it
- $1.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
- Snipers
- 1 · $32
- Holders
- 33
- Money on it
- $391
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.7K on it
- 11walrus60% won of 1,303 · whale$469+$38K lifetime
- 2srv12359% won of 81$160−$1.7K lifetime
- 3cash3810% won of 1$156−$80 lifetime
- 4RidingWithTheGhost62% won of 76$143+$19 lifetime
- 5Retarts53% won of 118 · balanced$79+$798 lifetime
No$391 on it
- 1Kaeld190% won of 30$79−$97 lifetime
- 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,235 · noise$76+$255K lifetime
- 3lolzzzlol19% won of 45,352$68−$99K lifetime
- 4LornaPredicts28% won of 15,840 · noise$39+$27K lifetime
- 5filofilono record yet$39+$0 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?"?
77 wallets hold a position worth $2.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 77 of them. The largest Yes holder is 1walrus, with $469 on it, $38K lifetime profit over 1,303 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is Kaeld1, with $79 on it, $97 lifetime loss over 30 markets (90% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 55¢ and No at 46¢, a 55% implied chance of Yes. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
61% of the money on Yes and 43% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 10 points. A week ago, Yes by 6 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 8, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.