Who's betting on “Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand?”?
Smart money leans No: 97% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 29 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $21K traded all time
- Held now
- $9.6K by 61 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 68% 36 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 97% 25 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $21K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2026.
The smart money
68% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 29 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 29 points. A week ago, No by 28 points.
Who holds it
61 wallets hold a position worth $9.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 61 of them. The largest Yes holder is pondereroffate, with $201 on it, $169 lifetime profit over 8 markets (88% won). The largest No holder is 1walrus, with $8.1K on it, $38K lifetime profit over 1,303 markets (60% won).
- Holders
- 36
- Money on it
- $619
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Holders
- 25
- Money on it
- $9.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$619 on it
- 1pondereroffate88% won of 8$201+$169 lifetime
- 20x460536fBfF727A7b7571A6aA51295977327a3600-177638563042630% won of 10$180+$155 lifetime
- 3FW6667% won of 98$141−$4.7K lifetime
- 4conorshandno record yet$32+$0 lifetime
- 5nikzang48% won of 139 · balanced$15+$241 lifetime
No$9.0K on it
- 11walrus60% won of 1,303 · whale$8.1K+$38K lifetime
- 2D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC3893558% won of 935 · whale$562+$85K lifetime
- 30x72D4b6625485C2E75195067BB388808AC0aEc0f0-1759001091056100% won of 1$166−$9 lifetime
- 4GuyFromTinder37% won of 22,344$40−$89K lifetime
- 5Elias.Thornwell69% won of 3,134 · whale$24+$570 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand?"?
61 wallets hold a position worth $9.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 61 of them. The largest Yes holder is pondereroffate, with $201 on it, $169 lifetime profit over 8 markets (88% won). The largest No holder is 1walrus, with $8.1K on it, $38K lifetime profit over 1,303 markets (60% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $21K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
68% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 29 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 29 points. A week ago, No by 28 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 8, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.