Who's betting on “Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $536,000 and $542,000 on September 30?”?
Smart money leans No: 100% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 21 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $633 by 55 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 79% 46 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 100% 9 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 11, 2026.
The smart money
79% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 21 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 22 points. A week ago, No by 21 points.
Who holds it
55 wallets hold a position worth $633 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 55 of them. The largest Yes holder is FrozenParasite, with $9 on it, $244K lifetime profit over 1,432 markets (71% won). The largest No holder is 0x6fa7…907e, with $293 on it, $41K lifetime profit over 870 markets (87% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $9 on Yes; 1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $293 on No.
- Holders
- 46
- Money on it
- $26
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
- Snipers
- 1 · $9
- Holders
- 9
- Money on it
- $607
- Holders' win rate
- 79%
- Snipers
- 1 · $293
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$26 on it
- 1FrozenParasite71% won of 1,432 · sniper$9+$244K lifetime
- 2LornaPredicts28% won of 15,896 · noise$2+$28K lifetime
- 3molodoyy50% won of 643 · whale$2+$46K lifetime
- 4Dr.PNL30% won of 15,261$2−$485K lifetime
- 5613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.98% won of 1,007 · whale$1+$21K lifetime
No$607 on it
- 10x6fa7…907e87% won of 870 · sniper$293+$41K lifetime
- 2YoungAlphaGoat54% won of 498 · whale$190+$89K lifetime
- 30x2c79f60bbeD7C69e85A03FC23A4FB935cd64e0AA-177661578026894% won of 218 · balanced$68+$1.6K lifetime
- 40x61824002685454-83610084637196% won of 726 · balanced$30+$17K lifetime
- 5Invictus0792% won of 213 · balanced$24+$3.9K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
4 more- $518K - $524K$20K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money split
- $512K - $518K$16K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- $530K - $536K$11K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money split
- $524K - $530K$10K vol.Yes 88%No 12%Smart money: Yes
Other big economy markets
- US recession by end of 2026?$2.4M vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money split
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 20%No 81%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$954K vol.Yes 3%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?$324K vol.Yes 31%No 70%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $536,000 and $542,000 on September 30?"?
55 wallets hold a position worth $633 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 55 of them. The largest Yes holder is FrozenParasite, with $9 on it, $244K lifetime profit over 1,432 markets (71% won). The largest No holder is 0x6fa7…907e, with $293 on it, $41K lifetime profit over 870 markets (87% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $536,000 and $542,000 on September 30?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 11, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
79% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 21 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 22 points. A week ago, No by 21 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 11, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.