Who's betting on “Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $530,000 and $536,000 on September 30?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.1K by 59 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 80% 44 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 82% 15 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 11, 2026.
The smart money
80% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
59 wallets hold a position worth $1.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 59 of them. The largest Yes holder is FrozenParasite, with $17 on it, $244K lifetime profit over 1,432 markets (71% won). The largest No holder is JAMJAMJAM4, with $709 on it, $97K lifetime profit over 836 markets (97% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $17 on Yes.
- Holders
- 44
- Money on it
- $50
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
- Snipers
- 1 · $17
- Holders
- 15
- Money on it
- $1.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 86%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$50 on it
- 1FrozenParasite71% won of 1,432 · sniper$17+$244K lifetime
- 2Started-with-20-USD55% won of 571 · whale$6+$54K lifetime
- 3qqqmmmccc83% won of 223$6−$955 lifetime
- 4mantou1145% won of 322 · noise$5+$38K lifetime
- 5molodoyy50% won of 643 · whale$3+$46K lifetime
No$1.1K on it
- 1JAMJAMJAM497% won of 836 · whale$709+$97K lifetime
- 2SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$169+$203K lifetime
- 30x39c967d8d35FF4cc4B211c55ED8E732010483B9f-177504489383580% won of 141$138−$9.3K lifetime
- 4yessirskis86% won of 436$35−$1.9K lifetime
- 5Buzz12z51% won of 889$10−$329 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
4 more- $518K - $524K$20K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money split
- $512K - $518K$16K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- $536K - $542K$11K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- $524K - $530K$10K vol.Yes 88%No 12%Smart money: Yes
Other big economy markets
- US recession by end of 2026?$2.4M vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money split
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 20%No 81%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$954K vol.Yes 3%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?$324K vol.Yes 31%No 70%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $530,000 and $536,000 on September 30?"?
59 wallets hold a position worth $1.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 59 of them. The largest Yes holder is FrozenParasite, with $17 on it, $244K lifetime profit over 1,432 markets (71% won). The largest No holder is JAMJAMJAM4, with $709 on it, $97K lifetime profit over 836 markets (97% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $530,000 and $536,000 on September 30?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 11, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
80% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 11, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.