Who's betting on “Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $446,000 and $454,000 on September 30?”?
Smart money leans No: 95% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 5 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $17K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.4K by 68 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 89% 48 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 95% 20 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 11, 2026.
The smart money
89% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 5 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 5 points. A week ago, No by 5 points.
Who holds it
68 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 68 of them. The largest Yes holder is FrozenParasite, with $16 on it, $244K lifetime profit over 1,432 markets (71% won). The largest No holder is extractive-manatee, with $2.0K on it, $84K lifetime profit over 1,555 markets (58% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $16 on Yes.
- Holders
- 48
- Money on it
- $50
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
- Snipers
- 1 · $16
- Holders
- 20
- Money on it
- $2.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 43%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$50 on it
- 1FrozenParasite71% won of 1,432 · sniper$16+$244K lifetime
- 2SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$16+$203K lifetime
- 3LornaPredicts28% won of 15,896 · noise$3+$28K lifetime
- 4jcharger65% won of 206 · balanced$3+$31K lifetime
- 5JesusFK2% won of 1,490$2−$16K lifetime
No$2.3K on it
- 1extractive-manatee58% won of 1,555 · whale$2.0K+$84K lifetime
- 2apalebluedot34% won of 208 · noise$99+$17K lifetime
- 30xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$70+$334K lifetime
- 458f4dhg1f854h16% won of 162$50−$1.3K lifetime
- 5stasssss29% won of 231$50−$748 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on September 30?
2 moreOther big economy markets
- US recession by end of 2026?$2.4M vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money split
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 20%No 81%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$954K vol.Yes 3%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?$324K vol.Yes 31%No 70%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $446,000 and $454,000 on September 30?"?
68 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 68 of them. The largest Yes holder is FrozenParasite, with $16 on it, $244K lifetime profit over 1,432 markets (71% won). The largest No holder is extractive-manatee, with $2.0K on it, $84K lifetime profit over 1,555 markets (58% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $446,000 and $454,000 on September 30?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 11, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
89% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 5 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 5 points. A week ago, No by 5 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 11, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.