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Who's betting on “Will the median home value in Austin Metro be at least $486,000 on September 30?”?

Economy$10K traded42 holdersEnds October 11, 2026Updated September 29, 2026
0%Yes🧠 smart money
100%No

Smart money leans Yes: 81% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 23 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$10K
traded all time
Held now
$253
by 42 wallets
Smart share · Yes
81%
35 scored holders
Smart share · No
59%
7 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 11, 2026.

The smart money

81% of the money on Yes and 59% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 23 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 23 points. A week ago, Yes by 23 points.

Who holds it

42 wallets hold a position worth $253 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 42 of them.

Yes0%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share81%
7 days ago 81%a day ago 81%now 81%
Holders
35
Money on it
$9
Holders' win rate
47%
No100%
Smart money share59%
7 days ago 59%a day ago 59%now 59%
Holders
7
Money on it
$245
Holders' win rate
82%
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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the median home value in Austin Metro be at least $486,000 on September 30?"?

42 wallets hold a position worth $253 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 42 of them.

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the median home value in Austin Metro be at least $486,000 on September 30?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 11, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

81% of the money on Yes and 59% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 23 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 23 points. A week ago, Yes by 23 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 11, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.