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Who's betting on “Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027?”?

Politics · $28K volume · Ends December 31, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.

43% of the money on Yes and 87% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 43 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 43 points. A week ago, No by 43 points.

58 wallets hold a position worth $927 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 58 of them. The largest Yes holder is Oldfarm, with $4 on it, $1.1K lifetime profit over 202 markets (52% won). The largest No holder is delphy, with $297 on it, $8.9K lifetime profit over 43 markets (98% won).

Yes2%
Smart money share
43%
Holders
43
Money on it
$19
Holders' winrate
54%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No98%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
87%
Holders
15
Money on it
$908
Holders' winrate
92%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Oldfarmbalanced$4+$1.1K52% of 202
AJSVwhale$2+$218K41% of 102,701
Unruly-Real$1-$5428% of 82
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.whale$1+$22K98% of 3,063
0xE2B44168f9C361a06a64ED3Fe0E858634E883c5A-1764710056110balanced$1+$8.3K46% of 332
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
delphybalanced$297+$8.9K98% of 43
explorer221$120-$69586% of 203
valeriafronzobalanced$58+$83382% of 33
kirieshque$56+$10100% of 34
cum-busters16-$54+$16100% of 40
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027?"?

58 wallets hold a position worth $927 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 58 of them. The largest Yes holder is Oldfarm, with $4 on it, $1.1K lifetime profit over 202 markets (52% won). The largest No holder is delphy, with $297 on it, $8.9K lifetime profit over 43 markets (98% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

43% of the money on Yes and 87% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 43 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 43 points. A week ago, No by 43 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo