Who's betting on “Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $49K traded all time
- Held now
- $9.2K by 85 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 89% 29 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 85% 56 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 59¢ and No at 41¢, a 59% implied chance of Yes. $49K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 27, 2027.
The smart money
89% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
85 wallets hold a position worth $9.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 85 of them. The largest Yes holder is browne, with $1.9K on it, $55K lifetime profit over 337 markets (74% won). The largest No holder is Liquidifier, with $891 on it, $181K lifetime profit over 1,151 markets (49% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $52 on No.
- Holders
- 29
- Money on it
- $6.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
- Holders
- 56
- Money on it
- $3.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
- Snipers
- 1 · $52
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$6.0K on it
- 1browne74% won of 337 · whale$1.9K+$55K lifetime
- 2GoldmanSachs51% won of 207 · whale$1.2K+$71K lifetime
- 3simpleman53% won of 1,036 · whale$979+$91K lifetime
- 4BetZilla47% won of 148 · noise$610+$12K lifetime
- 588111260% won of 1,119 · whale$515+$450K lifetime
No$3.2K on it
- 1Liquidifier49% won of 1,151 · whale$891+$181K lifetime
- 2HolyMoses753% won of 1,503 · whale$594+$179K lifetime
- 3puravida64% won of 1,346 · whale$515+$37K lifetime
- 40x22d8…a92b86% won of 21$168−$1.2K lifetime
- 5UntitledUser176% won of 541 · whale$160+$1.6K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
1 moreOther big economy markets
- US recession by end of 2026?$2.4M vol.Yes 7%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money split
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 20%No 81%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$954K vol.Yes 3%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?$324K vol.Yes 31%No 70%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?"?
85 wallets hold a position worth $9.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 85 of them. The largest Yes holder is browne, with $1.9K on it, $55K lifetime profit over 337 markets (74% won). The largest No holder is Liquidifier, with $891 on it, $181K lifetime profit over 1,151 markets (49% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 59¢ and No at 41¢, a 59% implied chance of Yes. $49K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 27, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
89% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 27, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.