Who's betting on “Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?”?
Smart money leans No: 71% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 7 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $19K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.6K by 60 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 64% 34 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 71% 26 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 17¢ and No at 83¢, an 83% implied chance of No. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 27, 2027.
The smart money
64% of the money on Yes and 71% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 7 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 9 points. A week ago, Yes by 19 points.
Who holds it
60 wallets hold a position worth $3.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 60 of them. The largest Yes holder is Liquidifier, with $270 on it, $181K lifetime profit over 1,151 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is HolyMoses7, with $1.3K on it, $179K lifetime profit over 1,503 markets (53% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $28 on Yes.
- Holders
- 34
- Money on it
- $820
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
- Snipers
- 1 · $28
- Holders
- 26
- Money on it
- $2.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$820 on it
- 1Liquidifier49% won of 1,151 · whale$270+$181K lifetime
- 288111260% won of 1,124 · whale$171+$451K lifetime
- 3chessplayer70% won of 1,381$95−$17K lifetime
- 4rocky4201552% won of 1,056$51−$15K lifetime
- 5vlospa44% won of 262$45−$460 lifetime
No$2.8K on it
- 1HolyMoses753% won of 1,503 · whale$1.3K+$179K lifetime
- 20x49F20662% won of 862$472−$41K lifetime
- 32B9S27% won of 14,480 · noise$204+$97K lifetime
- 40xa169…1b7350% won of 1,541 · balanced$167+$6.9K lifetime
- 5tradetosurvive145% won of 25,346$104−$217K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
1 moreOther big economy markets
- US recession by end of 2026?$2.4M vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money split
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 20%No 81%Smart money split
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$959K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?$324K vol.Yes 31%No 70%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?"?
60 wallets hold a position worth $3.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 60 of them. The largest Yes holder is Liquidifier, with $270 on it, $181K lifetime profit over 1,151 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is HolyMoses7, with $1.3K on it, $179K lifetime profit over 1,503 markets (53% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 17¢ and No at 83¢, an 83% implied chance of No. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 27, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
64% of the money on Yes and 71% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 7 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 9 points. A week ago, Yes by 19 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 27, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.