Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party win the AL-03 House seat?”?
Smart money leans No: 90% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 47 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $20K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.1K by 36 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 42% 27 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 90% 9 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
42% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 47 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 36 points. A week ago, No by 47 points.
Who holds it
36 wallets hold a position worth $2.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 36 of them. The largest Yes holder is macrosteaks, with $7 on it, $8.2K lifetime loss over 2,637 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is nicoco89, with $1.6K on it, $121K lifetime profit over 1,030 markets (65% won).
- Holders
- 27
- Money on it
- $26
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
- Holders
- 9
- Money on it
- $2.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$26 on it
- 1macrosteaks64% won of 2,637$7−$8.2K lifetime
- 2Haradwaith50% won of 54,120$3−$378K lifetime
- 3qcp273% won of 251 · whale$3+$1.3K lifetime
- 4Digital-Boy16% won of 2,232$2−$78K lifetime
- 5planktonXD76% won of 6,321 · whale$2+$132K lifetime
No$2.1K on it
- 1nicoco8965% won of 1,030 · whale$1.6K+$121K lifetime
- 2Elias.Thornwell69% won of 3,136 · whale$222+$560 lifetime
- 3rondon8949% won of 205$160−$474 lifetime
- 4noise126trader63% won of 208$27−$551 lifetime
- 5Anon23468% won of 244$27−$859 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in AL-03 House Election Winner
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party win the AL-03 House seat?"?
36 wallets hold a position worth $2.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 36 of them. The largest Yes holder is macrosteaks, with $7 on it, $8.2K lifetime loss over 2,637 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is nicoco89, with $1.6K on it, $121K lifetime profit over 1,030 markets (65% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party win the AL-03 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
42% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 47 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 36 points. A week ago, No by 47 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.