Who's betting on “Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 100% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 15 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $25K traded all time
- Held now
- $253 by 92 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 85% 83 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 100% 9 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $25K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
85% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 16 points. A week ago, No by 18 points.
Who holds it
92 wallets hold a position worth $253 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 92 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493, with $6 on it, $21K lifetime profit over 33,616 markets (10% won). The largest No holder is Optimus-, with $72 on it, $121K lifetime profit over 330 markets (55% won).
- Holders
- 83
- Money on it
- $46
- Holders' win rate
- 39%
- Holders
- 9
- Money on it
- $207
- Holders' win rate
- 78%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$46 on it
- 10xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-177881046449310% won of 33,616 · noise$6+$21K lifetime
- 2e46m347% won of 87,779 · whale$4+$964K lifetime
- 3Lucerys41% won of 130,521 · whale$4+$288K lifetime
- 40x48a4…45e943% won of 7$3−$35 lifetime
- 5donthackme29% won of 87,012 · noise$2+$829K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Largest Company end of October 2026?
8 more- NVIDIA$326K vol.Yes 88%No 12%Smart money: No
- Apple$273K vol.Yes 12%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- Alphabet$192K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Microsoft$63K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- SpaceX$44K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Amazon$18K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Saudi Aramco$17K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Broadcom$15K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?"?
92 wallets hold a position worth $253 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 92 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493, with $6 on it, $21K lifetime profit over 33,616 markets (10% won). The largest No holder is Optimus-, with $72 on it, $121K lifetime profit over 330 markets (55% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $25K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
85% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 16 points. A week ago, No by 18 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.