Who's betting on “Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 90% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 49 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $325K traded all time
- Held now
- $129K by 1,033 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 41% 856 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 90% 159 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 86¢ and No at 14¢, an 86% implied chance of Yes. $325K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
41% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 49 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 53 points. A week ago, No by 39 points.
Who holds it
1,033 wallets hold a position worth $129K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,015 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xbb930e4Bde6Ea07Ed2A996088aFcd0a3602e7383-1748467195257, with $13K on it, $655 lifetime loss over 2 markets (0% won). The largest No holder is Hauchn, with $2.8K on it, $230K lifetime profit over 224 markets (43% won).
Sharp money
2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $329 on Yes.
- Holders
- 871
- Money on it
- $121K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
- Snipers
- 2 · $329
- Holders
- 162
- Money on it
- $7.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$121K on it
- 10xbb930e4Bde6Ea07Ed2A996088aFcd0a3602e7383-17484671952570% won of 2$13K−$655 lifetime
- 2mikiikkahhvdud77% won of 266$6.8K−$136 lifetime
- 3aiwar67% won of 290$5.1K−$8.1K lifetime
- 4soccergoat72% won of 117$5.1K−$16K lifetime
- 50x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-178340600939647% won of 78,573$5.1K−$4.0M lifetime
No$7.2K on it
- 1Hauchn43% won of 224 · noise$2.8K+$230K lifetime
- 2AlmostNoAwareness62% won of 193 · balanced$603+$3.4K lifetime
- 3troim66% won of 819 · whale$580+$90K lifetime
- 4SteveTheFish67% won of 112 · whale$522+$27K lifetime
- 50x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa567f-176383680226870% won of 248 · whale$253+$4.1K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Largest Company end of October 2026?
8 more- Apple$273K vol.Yes 14%No 86%Smart money: Yes
- Alphabet$192K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Microsoft$63K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- SpaceX$44K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Tesla$25K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Amazon$18K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Saudi Aramco$17K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Broadcom$15K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?"?
1,033 wallets hold a position worth $129K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,015 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xbb930e4Bde6Ea07Ed2A996088aFcd0a3602e7383-1748467195257, with $13K on it, $655 lifetime loss over 2 markets (0% won). The largest No holder is Hauchn, with $2.8K on it, $230K lifetime profit over 224 markets (43% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 86¢ and No at 14¢, an 86% implied chance of Yes. $325K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
41% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 49 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 53 points. A week ago, No by 39 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.